Exploration in a two period model
Suppose that a supply of natural gas is to be allocated across two identical periods with the following characteristics:
- Demand: W2Pi = 740 – Qi
- Marginal extraction cost: $140
- Known quantity available: 390 units
- Interest rate: 100%
In addition, it is possible to find additional units of gas via exploration. The cost of drilling a well is $160. Eighty percent (80%) of the time, no gas will be found and 20% of the time 2 units will be found (note the 2). Any units found would be subject to the MEC noted above.
- Please calculate the market equilibrium taking exploration into account. Summarize your results in a table giving the values of the following variables in each of the two periods: royalty, price and quantity. Also, please calculate the number of units that will be found via exploration.
When you're done, you can check your work via the link below:
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Peter J Wilcoxen, The Maxwell School, Syracuse University
Revised 05/14/2008